Our group of writers went 25-14 against the spread last week for a 64% winning percentage, marking our best week this season. We'll look to keep the ball rolling in Week 7, which features some compelling matchups and a potential Super Bowl preview between the Chiefs and Seahawks.
Here are our picks against the spread, favorite touchdown scorer bets, and three player props to target for Week 7.
👉 Check out all of the Week 7 lines available on theScore Bet here
Our trio of betting writers - Eric Patterson, Brenden Deeg, and Dane Belbeck - will make picks against the spread for Sunday's slate and Monday Night Football all season.
Eric Patterson breaks down his favorite picks against the spread, adding his own analysis and insights. He'll also identify touchdown scorers and player props to target.
🏈 Bet: Bengals (-1.5)
Lamar Jackson is questionable for this AFC North clash, but he's trending toward not playing after being limited in Friday's practice. The line will move slightly depending on Jackson's availability, but I like the Bengals against the spread regardless of who's under center for the Ravens.
If Jackson plays, he won't be 100%, and the Ravens will still be favored. I'll back a healthy Joe Burrow and Cincinnati's revamped defense against a limited Jackson. If Jackson is out, the line should shift to the Bengals as small road favorites against Tyler Huntley, who showed why he's a backup in the Ravens' loss to the Browns last week. 👉 Add the Bengals to your betslip on theScore Bet here.
🏈 Bet: Vikings (-6.5)
The Colts are a mess and seem like they'll be sellers at the trade deadline. They fired their general manager after losing to the Titans as 7-point home favorites. Daniel Jones doesn't look like the same quarterback he was before rupturing his Achilles last season, and their once-dependable defense has taken a step back.
The one thing the Colts do decently well is run the ball with Jonathan Taylor. However, the Vikings rank fifth in rushing yards allowed per game. Jones will be forced to throw against Brian Flores' blitz-heavy defense, which sounds like a recipe for disaster for the turnover-prone quarterback. 👉 Add the Vikings to your betslip on theScore Bet here.
🏈 Bet: 49ers (-2.5)
Perhaps I'm falling into an obvious trap, but only having to lay 2.5 points with one of the best teams in the league against the Falcons feels like stealing. Sure, the 49ers played on Monday Night Football and have to travel to the East Coast for an early game, but that rest disadvantage doesn't cancel out the giant talent discrepancy between these teams.
San Francisco may be getting docked for some health issues on offense. Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel will be out, but Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are both active. Brock Purdy is playing at an MVP-caliber level, and the defense should be able to keep Bijan Robinson and Drake London in check. 👉 Add the 49ers to your betslip on theScore Bet here.
🏈 Bet: Packers (+3.5)
Josh Jacobs' return to the Packers' lineup should provide some juice to their rushing attack, which will only help Jordan Love through the air. Few teams can keep up with the Lions' offensive output, but the Packers may be one of them, especially against Detroit's abysmal secondary.
Detroit gives up a league-worst 297.4 passing yards per game, while Green Bay's offense ranks fifth in yards through the air. The Packers' defense was once perceived as a liability, but it's been a strength this season. It ranks third in EPA/pass, behind only the Vikings and Seahawks, according to SumerSports. This is a nightmare matchup for the Lions, and somehow they are still favored by 3.5 points. 👉 Add the Packers to your betslip on theScore Bet here.
🏈 Bet: Seahawks (-2.5)
Kenneth Walker III, the reigning Super Bowl MVP and current Offensive Player of the Year favorite, makes his return to Seattle as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday Night Football. The Seahawks lost last Thursday night to the Broncos, giving them a slight rest advantage over the Chiefs.
Walker has carried the Chiefs this season, but no team in the NFL may be better equipped to slow him down than Seattle. The Seahawks have allowed the 10th-fewest rushing yards per game and know Walker's tendencies better than anyone. If Seattle can keep Walker contained and force Mahomes to throw to his depleted receiving options, it should be able to hand the Chiefs their first loss of the season. 👉 Add the Seahawks to your betslip on theScore Bet here.
Season-long record (7-10, 5.12% ROI)
🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (-115)
The Saints have given up a league-high 12 total touchdowns and 4.8 yards per carry to opposing running backs this season. Jaylen Warren is having a sensational season, and even though Rico Dowdle returned to the Steelers' lineup last week, Warren still played 74% of the snaps. I'd expect Pittsburgh to lean more heavily on Warren this week after seeing their offense take a step back once Dowdle was involved.
🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+175)
It's National Tight End Day on Sunday, so what better way to celebrate than backing Tucker Kraft to find the end zone against the Lions? Detroit has given up nine touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, the most in the league despite having played only five games. Kraft has just one touchdown this season but remains a red-zone threat in a game with a 53.5-point total.
🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+250)
The Rams will be without Davante Adams and may also be missing Puka Nacua. That would leave Matthew Stafford with only his tight ends and a few replacement-level receivers as his top options. Colby Parkinson has an 18.52% target share inside the red zone this season and is expected to be on the field a lot with Adams out. The Raiders have allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends through six games.
Season-long record (8-9, -14.3% ROI)
🏈 Bet: Over 5.5 receptions (+125)
Since Roman Wilson and Michael Pittman Jr. went down with injuries, rookie Germie Bernard has seen target shares of 30% and 27.3%. He's caught 17 passes for 167 yards and a touchdown over the past two weeks, and Aaron Rodgers has raved about Bernard's ability. The Saints are a team that can be thrown on, and if Bernard sees another 25% target-share week, he should have no trouble securing six passes.
🏈 Bet: Over 29.5 receiving yards (-110)
This is a completely disrespectful line for a player who leads his team in receiving. Jaylin Noel surpassed 29.5 receiving yards in five of six contests this season and is in the midst of a three-game streak in which he's averaging 77.67 yards per game. Marvin Harrison Jr. and Tank Dell crowd the Texans' receiver room, but Noel clearly has a solid connection with C.J. Stroud.
🏈 Bet: Over 5.5 receptions (-115)
Who else is Purdy going to throw to? George Kittle has a 21.69% target share - and that's with Evans on the field, which won't be the case Sunday. Kittle also has six or more targets in four straight outings, and the Falcons have given up a league-high 89 receptions to opposing tight ends.
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